Scenarios
Scenario Analysis
Downside, base, and upside cases through the same DCF engine.
Illustrative data for a fictional company — see Methodology.
Growth and margin trends continue roughly in line with the FY2021–FY2025 historical trajectory.
Revenue Growth
15.0%
EBITDA Margin
28.0%
WACC
10.0%
Terminal Growth
3.0%
FY2030 Revenue
$1,530.6M
Terminal EBITDA
$428.6M
Terminal FCFF
$246.2M
Enterprise Value
$2,949.5M
Equity Value
$3,019.5M
Value / Share
$71.89
Scenario Comparison — Implied Value per Share
| Scenario | Revenue Growth | EBITDA Margin | Enterprise Value | Equity Value | Value / Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downside | 7.0% | 24.0% | $1,306.0M | $1,376.0M | $32.76 |
| Base | 15.0% | 28.0% | $2,949.5M | $3,019.5M | $71.89 |
| Upside | 20.0% | 32.0% | $5,020.2M | $5,090.2M | $121.19 |